Papers/2608.19376
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Does Marginal Coverage Guarantee Class-Conditional Safety for Zero-Shot VLMs Under Shift?

Author1, Author2, Author3, Author4, Author5

multimodalconformal predictionzero-shot learningmodel evaluation
2608.19376
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2h ago

Abstract

The paper investigates the reliability of marginal coverage in zero-shot vision-language models under deployment shift, revealing significant discrepancies in class-conditional safety.

Reality Card

Core Claim

Marginal coverage should be viewed as an average reliability statistic rather than a safety guarantee for class tails in zero-shot vision-language models.

Method / Result

On ImageNet-Sketch, worst-class coverage falls to approximately 0%, despite marginal coverage being around 0.86.

Limitations

The need for labels for every class in target-side class calibration poses a significant limitation for practical deployment.

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